Here are my Matchday 8 predictions, with the Matchday 7 results folded into the standings. Italy's clocks go back one hour at 03:00 on Sunday, Oct 25, so Sunday's kickoffs are in CET (UTC+1), but they land at the usual Italian local times.
**Standings after Matchday 7**
| Pos | Team | Pts | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Inter, Lazio | 19 each | Inter beat Bologna 3-1, Lazio beat Juventus 3-0 |
| 3 | Roma | 17 | Beat Genoa 2-0 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 15 | Edged Atalanta 3-2 |
| 5 | Como | 14 | Beat Fiorentina 3-1 |
| 6-7 | Frosinone, Cagliari | 13 each | Frosinone won 4-2 over Sassuolo, Cagliari were beaten 4-0 by Monza |
| Bottom | Fiorentina, Genoa, Parma, Udinese (4 each), Venezia (3) | | Venezia got their first win, 1-0 over Napoli |
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**Friday, October 23**
**Torino vs Monza, 20:45 CEST**
Predicted: Torino 2–1 Monza
Torino are slight favorites (44.4% vs 27.4%, draw 28.2%) and are riding a 3-0 win at Parma that took them to 10 points. Monza are also in form after a 4-0 thrashing of Cagliari, so they should score here. Torino's home record gives them the edge in a game with goals at both ends.
**Saturday, October 24**
**Cagliari vs Bologna, 15:00 CEST**
Predicted: Cagliari 1–1 Bologna
The model leans slightly toward Bologna (38.3% vs 30.9%, draw 30.8%). Cagliari were beaten 4-0 at Monza after a strong start and will want to respond at home. Bologna have only one win this season and lost 3-1 to Inter. Neither side has been consistent lately, and a draw feels fair.
**Como vs Sassuolo, 15:00 CEST**
Predicted: Como 3–1 Sassuolo
Como are heavy favorites (64.4% vs 16.4%) after a 3-1 win at Fiorentina that ended their scoring drought. Sassuolo's defense has been leaky (4 conceded at Frosinone), so Como should score freely at home. Sassuolo's attack will still find a consolation goal.
**Napoli vs Roma, 18:00 CEST**
Predicted: Napoli 1–2 Roma
The round's toss-up on paper (Roma 37.6%, Napoli 33.9%, draw 28.5%). Napoli suffered a shock 1-0 loss at Venezia, while Roma are unbeaten (17 pts) and have kept clean sheets recently. I expect a tight game that Roma win with their stronger defensive structure, though Napoli at home will score at least once.
**Lazio vs Parma, 20:45 CEST**
Predicted: Lazio 3–0 Parma
Lazio are strong favorites (69.5% vs 11.4%) after a 3-0 win at Juventus that put them joint top. Parma have just 4 points and have been beaten 3-0 in back-to-back games. Expect Lazio to dominate and keep a clean sheet.
**Sunday, October 25 (CET)**
**Inter vs Fiorentina, 12:30 CET**
Predicted: Inter 3–0 Fiorentina
This is the most lopsided fixture of the round (72.1% vs 11.8%). Inter are joint top on 19 points with 3 goals in each of their last three, while Fiorentina have 4 points and are struggling defensively. A comfortable win for Inter.
**Atalanta vs Frosinone, 15:00 CET**
Predicted: Atalanta 2–1 Frosinone
Atalanta are favored (53.2% vs 24.1%) at home, though they've lost three of their last four. Frosinone are 13 points and in good form after beating Sassuolo 4-2, so they'll score. I expect Atalanta's home quality to just edge it.
**Genoa vs Venezia, 15:00 CET**
Predicted: Genoa 2–1 Venezia
A relegation battle. Genoa get the home edge (44.9% vs 27.1%, draw 28%), and Venezia are buoyed by their first win of the season. Venezia still have the league's worst defense, so I give Genoa a narrow home win, with Venezia scoring once.
**Lecce vs Juventus, 18:00 CET**
Predicted: Lecce 1–2 Juventus
Juventus are big favorites on the road (66.5% vs 13.1%) and will be desperate to respond to their 3-0 home loss to Lazio. Lecce are in decent form after beating Udinese 3-0 and will make life awkward, but I expect Juve's quality to win.
**Udinese vs AC Milan, 20:45 CET**
Predicted: Udinese 1–2 AC Milan
Milan are favored (56.7% vs 18.8%) and are unbeaten at 15 points after a 3-2 win over Atalanta. Udinese have just 4 points and were beaten 3-0 at home by Lecce. They will find a goal, but Milan should have enough to win.
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**Summary table**
| Match | Predicted Score |
|---|---|
| Torino vs Monza | 2–1 |
| Cagliari vs Bologna | 1–1 |
| Como vs Sassuolo | 3–1 |
| Napoli vs Roma | 1–2 |
| Lazio vs Parma | 3–0 |
| Inter vs Fiorentina | 3–0 |
| Atalanta vs Frosinone | 2–1 |
| Genoa vs Venezia | 2–1 |
| Lecce vs Juventus | 1–2 |
| Udinese vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
These rely on form, standings, and the model's win probabilities. This season has already produced many upsets, so treat the scores as informed estimates rather than certainties.